Asbjørn
Rubinmedlem
Signaturen (((Tendar))) på xitter har en refleksjon som fortjener å siteres:BBC Radio meldte i morgentimene at de gjennom et større monitoreringsprosjekt basert på dødsannonser og slikt hadde verifisert over 75000 drepte på russisk side men at de reelle tallene garantert er signifikant høyere.
Vel så interessant var det at de hadde funnet siden i fjor at blant de drepte utgjør nyrekrutterte mobiker en klar og økende majoritet, og at de blir stadig eldre, mange opp i sekstiårsalderen. Og selv for å tiltrekke seg disse middelaldrende «frivillige» har de måttet mangedoble signeringshonoraret bare siden i fjor.
Passer vel ikke helt med tesen om at russerne har uendelig med ressurser og et hav av godt trente, motiverte og disiplinerte soldater i tjueårsalderen å ta av.
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Når putin sa at sovjetunionens oppløsning var den største geopolitiske katastrofen som hadde rammet muskovia, var det kanskje ikke meningen at han selv ville overgå det ved å stelle i stand en enda større geopolitisk katastrofe for muskovia-imperiet. Men det er eksakt hva han er i ferd med å oppnå. I remain a master strategist, skriver Darth Putin.I think that many still cannot grasp entirely what's going on in Russia. The systematic destruction of major Russian ammunitions sites as well as oil & gas facilities will have a severe impact on the Russian war effort and the state itself. Estimations go as high that 40,000 tons in ammunition have been destroyed over the past few days, which accounts for 12% of Russian stockpiles, or the equivalent of 1 month in ammunition. Russian military blogger already fear a lack in ammunition. All gone just by 3 strikes and you can be sure that those are not some "drone debris" penetrating hardened buildings. That is something developed during this war and I'm sure that Ukrainians haven't even started, yet.
Russia relied in the past on its sheer size to outlast enemies and exploited this for its own imperial ambitions. This advantage in the past, however, has now become a liability in 21st century. You don't have to invade Russia to decisively disrupt Moscow's ambitions. You observe and then target the exposed nerve centers of which many are in range. Russians cannot protect all these areas. They never could. Even the air defense grid of Moscow, which is the densest in the entire country, was successfully overcome several times, and this is the primary nerve center.
Of course, Russians will try to counter this development, but there is not really much what they can do. Dispersing the ammo sites in the occupied parts of Ukraine was one thing, to do this in all of Russia (west of the Ural mountains) is something completely different, and in fact not feasible at all. They have to locate those sites along the rail network, which in itself is already a critical bottleneck. Even without this headache, Russians already fail in logistics and this would push them over the edge.
Together with the mass casualties events in Ukraine, where thousands of Russian vehicles get burnt in on a monthly base and hundreds of Russians get destroyed on a daily base, it is only a question of time before all this will make Russia capsize. There won't be a single event or a single weapon system which will make Russia break. It will be a plethora of reasons. After that has materialized, we will look back and see how each and every puzzle piece contributed to this entire picture.
Putin is running of out time and we should keep Ukrainians capable of fighting and extend their capabilities in order to efficiently strike the Russian invaders respectively their country. Btw. this does not have to be only entire weapon systems. Even the steady supply of components can achieve this. I already mentioned in my post 2 days ago, how vital the Ukrainian war economy has become and we can see that in the destruction in major Russian facilities. I consider, however, Ukrainian drones and weapons as the long-term insurance policy for an Ukrainian victory, while the surplus of Western weapons systems such as ATACMS (and similar weapons), which are plenty in numbers and available on a short-term notice, immediate means which can be shipped.
Together with the new Ukrainian developments in drone technology, it will be the perfect storm for the Russian aggression, leading it to Russia's ultimate failure in conquering its neighbor and ending its imperial agenda once and for all.
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